RUNNING TIMES ON RAILWAY SECTIONS WITH HETEROGENEOUS TRAIN TRAFFIC
operations - traffic, infrastructure - vehicle, ridership - forecasting, ridership - forecasting, mode - rail
Train traffic, Stochastic processes, Speed and delay studies, Scenarios, Random processes, Railroad vehicle operations, Railroad transportation, Railroad traffic, Rail transportation, Projections, Netherlands, Mathematical models, Forecasting
In modern railway traffic, different train services often run on the same track of a railway section. This may result in delays due to fast trains being caught behind slower ones, since these train services generally travel at different speeds. This paper investigates these delays developing a stochastic model that captures both scheduled and unscheduled train movements. Running time distributions for each train service can be obtained solving a system of linear differential equations. This system can be solved explicitly when free running times for all train services are deterministic. The mathematical model falls in the class of infinite server resequencing queues, and the results generalize existing results for such queues, allowing dependence between consecutive interarrival times, as well as between interarrival and service times. A case study of a railway section in the Dutch railway network illustrates the practical value of the model, both for long and short term railway planning.
Huisman, T, Boucherie, R, (2001). RUNNING TIMES ON RAILWAY SECTIONS WITH HETEROGENEOUS TRAIN TRAFFIC. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Volume 35, Issue 3, p. 271-292.