Riding the waves of change: how does an innovative public transport alternative change low-income neighborhoods? A longitudinal analysis of residential mobility

Document Type

Journal Article

Publication Date

2025

Subject Area

place - south america, place - urban, mode - car, land use - impacts, land use - planning

Keywords

Mobility, cable car, residential location, sociodemographic characteristics

Abstract

In addition to its noteworthy accessibility benefits, transport interventions may induce residential mobility dynamics with undesirable outcomes, including displacement. Understanding behavior and residential location choices in these dynamics is crucial for policymaking and planning, especially in low- to middle-income countries where social implications are particularly relevant. This study evaluates residents' willingness to relocate following the implementation of a cable car in a peripheral area of Bogotá, Colombia, characterized by originally informal settlements, low income, and poor accessibility. This evaluation is based on the estimation of hybrid discrete choice models using longitudinal stated preference data collected within three years after the project's inauguration. Results indicate that the willingness to relocate, after the cable car implementation is low, suggesting that the risk of observing residential mobility and displacement in the short term is also low. Model estimates show that satisfaction with the neighborhood and the availability of housing alternatives with good access to public transport and police stations are some of the main determinants of the residential location choices. Finally, heterogeneity in preferences by sociodemographic characteristics is evidenced, as homeowners are willing to pay more for better housing conditions and renters prefer more affordable alternatives, sacrificing accessibility.

Rights

Permission to publish the abstract has been given by Elsevier, copyright remains with them.

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