The Network Spillover Effects of Metro Expansion on Metro Usage: A Quasi-experimental Analysis in Shenzhen, China
Document Type
Journal Article
Publication Date
2026
Subject Area
place - asia, place - urban, mode - subway/metro, infrastructure - station, ridership - behaviour, land use - impacts, land use - transit oriented development
Keywords
spatially interrupted time-series research design, network spillover effect, casual inference, metro expansion, metro travel distance
Abstract
Using Shenzhen, China as a case study, we observed that metro (i.e., subway) expansion can generate network spillover effects on metro usage along the existing metro lines. We also found that metro-induced network spillover effect follows a distance decay pattern both along the metro line and areas adjacent to stations. Analyzing time-varying network spillover effect can produce more accurate assessments of the travel behavior implications stemming from metro expansion, thereby better informing the metro investment, land value capitalization strategies, and transit-oriented development.
Rights
Permission to publish the abstract has been given by SAGE, copyright remains with them.
Recommended Citation
Lu, D., Zhang, W., Ong, P. M., Kwan, M. P., & Xie, S. (2026). The Network Spillover Effects of Metro Expansion on Metro Usage: A Quasi-experimental Analysis in Shenzhen, China. Journal of Planning Education and Research, 46(1), 72-87.
