Cascading failure analysis for multimodal comprehensive transportation network considering time-delay characteristic of passenger flow redistribution

Document Type

Journal Article

Publication Date

2026

Subject Area

planning - network design, planning - methods

Keywords

Multimodal comprehensive transportation network, cascading failure analysis, time-delay characteristic, transfer mode, coupled map lattices model

Abstract

Under external disturbances, considering passenger flow transfer time – referred to as the time-delay characteristic – rather than redistributing the passenger flow instantaneously, is crucial for analyzing cascading failures in multimodal comprehensive transportation network (MCNet). This study proposes an improved cascading failure model that incorporates passenger flow transfer time, transfer paths, and multiple transfer modes. A systematic analytical method is designed to examine cascading failure characteristics under different influencing factors in MCNet. The experimental results reveal that attacking the highest-strength vertex triggers a more severe cascading failure. Besides, the cascading failure in MCNet is primarily induced by passenger flow rather than network structure, while the time-delay characteristic can slow down the failure propagation by 43.6%. Moreover, an increasing proportion of volume transferred within the same mode can mitigate the cascading effects. Finally, based on the research findings, we propose several suggestions for network design and optimization to enhance the resilience of MCNet.

Rights

Permission to publish the abstract has been given by Taylor&Francis, copyright remains with them.

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